The past five years were
tumultuous for automobile manufacturers. Skyrocketing fuel prices and growing
environmental concerns have shifted consumers' preferences away from fuel-guzzling
pickup trucks to smaller, more fuel-efficient cars.
Some automakers embraced
the change by expanding their small-car portfolios and diversifying into the
production of hybrid electric motor vehicles. Other automakers were more
reluctant to shift their focus from big to small cars, expecting the price of
fuel to contract eventually, bringing consumers back to the big-car fold. When
fuel prices did fall during the second half of 2008, it was due to the US
financial crisis ripping through the global economy. This had a domino effect
throughout the developed and emerging worlds, with many Western nations
following the United States into recession. Industry revenue fell about 15.4%
in 2009. Pent-up
demands will aid industry revenue growth, estimated at 2.1% in 2013, thus
bringing overall revenue to an estimated $2.3 trillion. 3 Overall, the
large declines followed by recovery are expected to lend the industry average
growth of 2.2% per year during the five years to 2013. Throughout the past five
years, growth in the BRIC countries supported production. Rising income in
these countries led to an increase in the demand for motor vehicles. Also,
Western automakers moved production facilities to BRIC countries to tap into
these markets and benefit from low-cost production. Over the next five years,
the emerging economies will continue their growth, and demand for motor
vehicles in the Western world will recover. Industry revenue is forecast to
grow an annualized 2.5% to total an estimated $2.6 trillion over the five years
to 2018.
Threat of New Entry (Weak):
Capital Generation: Huge capital is
required. So, if someone plans to come up with the company of automobiles, they
have to make huge investment and bear huge risk.
Legal Barriers: Few legal barriers
protect existing companies from new entrants. There are various Government
Rules and Regulations that makes the differences.
Goodwill Earned: All automotive
companies have established brand image and reputation
Quality and design: Products are mainly
differentiated by design and engineering quality
Economies of Scale: It is very hard to
achieve economies of scale for small companies
Taxation Policies: Governments
often protect their home markets by introducing high import taxes
Supplier power (Weak):
Many Suppliers: Large number of
suppliers are there, if not Suppliers.
Different Suppliers: Some suppliers are
large but the most of them are pretty small
Parts are available: Materials widely
accessible
Forward Integration
threat: Suppliers do not pose any threat of forward integration
Buyer power (Strong):
Many buyers: There are many buyers in
this field. The purchase rate has been growing in increasing trend.
Organizational Buying: Most of the
buyers are individuals that buy one car, but corporates or governments usually
buy large fleets and can bargain for lower prices
Alternatives: It doesn’t cost much
for buyers to switch to another brand of vehicle or to start using other type
of transportation.
Force Down Prices: When they are into
buying more than one unites, they can compel for drawing down the prices.
Flexible buyers: Buyers can easily
choose alternative car brand
Price Sensetive: Buyers are price
sensitive and their decision is often based on how much does a vehicle cost
No backward integration
threat: Buyers do not threaten backward integration
Threat of Substitutes (Weak):
No easy substitute:
There are many alternative types of transportation, such
as bicycles, motorcycles, trains, buses or planes
Low chances of getting with substitutes: Substitutes can
rarely offer the same convenience and hence the customer cannot easily move
towards the substitute.
Competitive Rivalry (Very Strong):
Limited
competitors: Moderate number of competitors
Difficult Quit: If a firm would decide to leave an industry it would incur huge losses, so
most of the time it either bankrupts or stays in automotive industry for the
lifetime
Target segments: Size of competing firm’s vary but they usually compete for different
consumer segments
Brand Loyalty: Customers are loyal to their brands in this regard.
Being Acquired: There is moderate threat of being acquired by
a competitor
References:
http://www.scholar.harvard.edu
http://www.wikipedia.org/
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